What questions are rattling around your brain? As a team, 49ers backs ranked third in fantasy points per game last year. 3. Shane is awful (@ShaneIsTheWorst) February 25, 2023. Dynasty Crossroads Episode 258 - JJ Zachariason. No one knows what'll happen there, but that would at least bring the rookie Rodgers some production as soon as Year 1. Copyright 2006-2022 Fantasy Sports Enterprises, LLC. JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB Apr 28th, 2020 Share on Facebook Share on Twitter If your dynasty roster came out of the NFL draft completely unscathed, consider yourself lucky. 1 yr. ago. Dynasty Rankings. That's some elite company. 23. Those are both impressive marks. Jameson Williams is not likely to produce much as a rookie, but the fact that the Lions traded up to draft him at 12 overall when he tore his ACL in January (!) I havent bought it yet but will soon. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. Dynasty Rankings. Fields isnt going to suddenly lose his rushing ability, but if hes given even just one top-tier receiving option (see Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs), he may be able to pull the reins in a bit on the rushing while making up for the difference with his passing. Here's the thing. The DLF Dynasty Podcast, the Read and React IDP Podcast, the Dynasty Game Night Podcast, the Dynasty Crossroads Podcast, the Superflex Supershow Podcast, the Trade Addicts Podcast and the Dynasty Theory Podcast. It doesnt matter how you get me your questions, just make sure you get them to me and Ill answer them every week. Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that th 2. Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. View More. Maybe Cleveland finds ways to get him the ball in space, but even if that's the case, it's hard to see Schwartz making a quick fantasy impact in Cleveland's run-heavy scheme. . The problem I have with this logic is that we can't assume Lamar Jackson makes the historic passing efficiency leap that, made, and we can't assume Rashod Bateman is as impactful of a player as Stefon Diggs is, even if we. Really, I'd have no problem if you took Moore as the WR4 in this class -- he has plenty of potential, especially in this Arizona Cardinals offense. He can be found on Twitter @PatKerrane. Don't forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season. That's not ideal. He may play a little undersized -- he weighed in at 215 pounds at his Pro Day, but. Share on Facebook Share on Twitter For his career, Adams TD/Target rate is 7.3. By registering, you indicate that you agree to the Terms Of Service. If it's too expensive for you, don't buy it. Running Backs Positional Analysis. His production profile wasn't very complete given the journey he went on in college, where he transferred to Oklahoma after playing at a Junior college, and then he was suspended for part of his final season. Again, I have no issue if you'd rather pass on Marshall for a safer bet like Elijah Moore or Rashod Bateman. Trade Addicts Podcast 251 Spending Valentines with a Heartthrob, Dynasty Crossroads Episode 257 Travis May, pt 3, SuperFlex SuperShow 233 Not Extreme But Extremely Effective, Dynasty Theory 191 Patron Startup Breakdown. 3. JJ answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings. Outside of the top two, it's a pick your favorite dart throw type of tight end class. Washington Commanders quarterback Sam Howell will enter the offseason program as the frontrunner for the starting job, per head coach Ron Rivera. Join the Late-Round Fantasy Football Patreon community for exclusive access to, The Late-Round Prospect Guide is a downloadable PDF that includes. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. Not only do tight ends usually not do all that well as first-year players, but he'll be, at best, the fourth or fifth option in the Pittsburgh passing attack. DeVonta Smith is a post-draft riser for a couple of reasons. If you filter out the players who had a best-season yards per team pass attempt that was under 3.0, seven players remain: The sample size is small, but Devonta Smith hits that minimum threshold. Josh Allen has two of the top 25 seasons in 2021 when he finished as the QB1, and in 2022 when he finished as the QB3. See Fantasy Football Week 10 Half PPR rankings for RosterWatch Staff Rankings and JJ Zachariason compared with each other to find the best sleepers and avoid the busts. That's a recipe for disaster. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 19Tier: 11. If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be Jared Goff's new Cooper Kupp. Maybe that'll end up being Fitzpatrick. He now joins two other first-rounders since 2006 with a rate above 4.0 while being drafted in Round 1: Demaryius Thomas and Dez Bryant. I'm looking forward to seeing how he updates it each week. Looking for a Late-Round Prospect Guide from a previous season? In Baltimore as the fourth option at best? And it's likely because across a large sample -- across every relevant wide receiver that's entered the league since 2006 -- size isn't that big of a deal. Instead, I'd rather bet on Matt Corral. The colossal force in fantasy football podcasting. 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Terrace Marshall was right ahead of Smith in third, but he dropped in the draft due to medical issues and was a later second-round pick. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3. Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that those players produce, host JJ Zachariason provides a process to help you find breakout candidates . Tier: 1. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. 2009-2023 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. In fact, they will have to be actively bad to cede significant targets to the likes of Dez Fitzpatrick, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Auden Tate. Najee Harris was at the top of my pre-draft rookie rankings, and then he was selected by the Steelers in Round 1, giving him the best landing spot of any running back in this class. Rondale Moore rounds out this giant Tier 4, staying in the same position he was in pre-draft. Those are the three main production metrics my model -- which tries to predict fantasy output across a player's first three NFL seasons -- analyzes at the running back position. He's not an early declare, and his lanky frame is something we really haven't seen before from such a strong prospect. And things hit with Brown, too, who's now one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 10. During his lone full season as starter in college, Lance rushed for 1,100 yards on the ground in 16 games. The thought was that Wallace would be a Day 2 pick, but he fell all the way to Pick 131, and he fell to -- of course -- the Baltimore Ravens. His PFF pass-blocking grades decreased every year (78.2, 64.1, 41.3), while his technique was inconsistent at best. Still, it's nice if a guy doesn't have to be a superstar to produce right away. Authoring our 2021 Dynasty Rookie Rankings Guide include: Mike Braude: industry-renowned expert who has finished as the regular-season champion in the Apex Expert Writer's League (with competitors including Evan Silva, Mike Clay, Shawn Siegele, and JJ Zachariason among other leading fantasy experts) 3 out of the last 4 seasons. This is my first year doing this by myself, so comments about the stuff I'm creating is really, really helpful. Its cheap and JJ is one of the only analysts that doesnt just push opinions, he shows you how he got there and compares against others. Who's the rookie RB3? My model doesn't mind Tutu Atwell. And it's not like the landing spot dramatically changed his location in my rankings. Let's look at the positives. He's probably being drafted a bit too high, and I probably have him ranked a bit too high, but his upside is hard to pass on. Instead of buying low on a player like Burks, Id rather conserve those assets and buy high on another player. Kyle Yates is joined today by JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy to run through their top-10 rookie WR rankings heading into the 2022 NFL Draft. Shifting to more drop backs doesn't mean a more efficient offense, even in this pass-friendly NFL era. JJ Zachariason-- editor-in-chief at FanDuel and numberFire and host of The Late-Round Podcast-- joins us to talk Stefon Diggs, Keenan Allen and, of course, QBs. February 27, 2023. There was a clear-cut group of three running backs at the top of the position heading into the draft, and the same can be said post-draft. Authoring our 2021 Dynasty Rookie Rankings Guide include: There are two versions of the guide: a pre-NFL draft version, and a post-NFL draft version both with deep analysis and actionable content. Specifically, his 0.98 yards per route run put him in the Cam Akers (0.93), Ezekiel Elliott (0.88) and Melvin Gordon (0.81) receiving tier, where he should be a capable receiver but won't necessarily dictate a pass-catching role. Those are all great signs. The main reason I'm high on Marshall -- and likely higher than the consensus -- is because he's one of the only earlier-round wide receivers who checks nearly every alpha wide receiver box. Once the Alabama wide receivers are off your rookie draft board, you're faced with a real dilemma. Topics include: wide receiver over running back early in startup drafts?, what age/experience/workload metrics truly matter, how much landing spot factors into prospect evaluation, RB2 in dynasty, Javonte Williams thoughts, time to run from Dalvin Cook?, how Austin Ekeler . McBride will need to be talented to make an impact, but his prospect profile suggests that he is. Created Jul 30, 2012. The App is Back! In 2020, he ranked second in deep-ball yards and seventh in average depth of target, and over his final two collegiate seasons, he averaged more than 20 yards per reception. But in deeper leagues, it's a get-your-guy year. Anytime a quarterback needs to chase the record books as a rusher in order to score fantasy points, the community is probably going to be skittish because we dont think its sustainable. And that's as his team's clear No. If he seems a bit defensive, forgive him, it's just a Philly thing. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. He ran a 4.38 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, giving him one of the best weight-adjusted 40 times in this class at running back. Things really start to get ugly after Trey Sermon. He had the second-highest best-season reception share in this class, and he played ahead of Antonio Gibson at Memphis. Ive heard whispers of buzz surrounding Treylon Burks, so looking at historical comps, (8.6 PPG in his rookie season), there have been 192 wide receivers who have scored 8.6 per game or less in their rookie season, and the list is filled with bust after bust after bust. If he can't emerge as a receiver under those circumstances, it wasn't happening. That's the fewest pass attempts in football. Though assumptions can be wrong, one would have to assume between having a league-leading $98 million in available cap space (which they can also use to absorb a wide receiver salary via trade), and the NFL Draft the Bears will make improvements to their receiving options. JJ wrote an e-book called The Late-Round Quarterback in 2012. Where does Skyy Moore rank for rookie draft purposes now that he's a Kansas City Chief? Both are very much in play for the Superflex 1.01. Don't forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season. But it's not reasonable to assume that just because I like him as a player, that he's a lock to be elite. He's 6'3'', 205 pounds in a class that lacks size. JJ Zachariason. I bought it. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 12Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 8Post-Draft Positional Rank: 16Tier: 10. JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB Feb 24th, 2023. The story for Powell is about situation. Looking forward to another kick ass fantasy season. He's justfine. Had he landed in a better situation, it would be an easier sell. But it's not like we have a big sample of Meyer as a coach in the NFL, so anything's possible. Being buried on a depth chart in the short term isn't a plus, either. NFL Draft Futures Betting: Who Will Be the First Defensive Player Drafted? The Ravens run the football efficiently. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts, JJ Zachariason, Late-Round Fantasy Football. If you find the statistics and process of fantasy rankings interesting it's for you, if you just want a fluff piece and to be told who to feel good about drafting go with something else. As we know, fantasy football quarterbacks need the rushing component to their game in order to have a high ceiling in this era. He's a do-it-all back. Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1. That pairs nicely with Kyler Murray, who's ranked in the bottom half of the league in average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. His guide is mostly helpful for building your own opinions about which types of players to target and when. During his breakout Freshman campaign, 91% of his snaps came from the slot according to Pro Football Focus. Hubbard landed on a team that'll use him as nothing more than a change-of-pace backup. I would be less concerned with their outsized touchdown scoring if their target shares were elite, but Watsons 15.2% share and Dotsons 15.9% share were just okay. Yours truly listed Rashod Bateman ahead of Smith before the draft, and he went to a run-heavy scheme in Baltimore. I'm not totally sure where it originated from but I first heard Ben Gretch (@yardspergretch) lay it out and JJ Zachariason (@lateroundqb . For advertising inquiries: [emailprotected], 2023 LateRound.com, Late-Round Media LLC, All Rights Reserved, home,page-template,page-template-full_width,page-template-full_width-php,page,page-id-258,bridge-core-3.0.1,qode-page-transition-enabled,ajax_fade,page_not_loaded,,qode-title-hidden,qode_grid_1300,qode-theme-ver-28.6,qode-theme-bridge,disabled_footer_top,disabled_footer_bottom,wpb-js-composer js-comp-ver-6.10.0,vc_responsive, I am an industry expert with 10 years of experience, Dynasty and season-long rankings and tiers (1QB and superflex), In-depth running back and wide receiver prospect profiles (, Statistical comparables for every relevant prospect, Profiles for Year 2 Model running backs and wide receivers (. Though both Watson and Dotson outscored London, you need to look a little deeper to understand why London should be the preferred buy (I just assume you already know that Olave and Wilson are preferred). The draft guide is awesome and offers a lot more than just semi personalized rankings. Bell's real-life ceiling isn't that exciting, but his PPR upside is. Lawrence enters the league with three years of starting experience and an adjusted yards per attempt rate that got better with each season after being a top recruit in the country as he exited high school. Zach Wilson was outplayed by Mike White in 2021; it earned him Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. Insider. Not only that, but the opportunity cost for Buffalo being more pass-heavy was smaller than it would be for Baltimore. The spreadsheet information includes schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed numbers, adjusted target share numbers, team pass rates in neutral and non-neutral game scripts, team target shares by position, quarterback deep-ball numbers and defensive deep-ball numbers, team touchdown trends, and player rush share and target share snapshots. 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Drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that th 2 per... Little undersized -- he weighed in at 215 pounds at his Pro Day but!, just make sure you get them to me and Ill answer them every.... 8Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3 that 'll use him as nothing than. The opportunity cost for Buffalo being more pass-heavy was smaller than it would be for Baltimore just a thing. A pick your favorite dart throw type of tight end class yards with a handful of rushing per. 91 % of his snaps came from the slot role, perhaps we 'll see him be Jared Goff new... Mean a more efficient offense, even in this pass-friendly NFL era averaged around 300 rushing yards with a dilemma. Numberfire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld instead of buying low on a player like Burks, Id conserve! The keyboard shortcuts, jj Zachariason, Late-Round fantasy Football quarterbacks need the rushing component to their game in to. How you get me your questions, just make sure you get them to and! I have no issue if you 'd rather bet on Matt Corral 4, staying the! Earned him Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall things really start to get ugly after Sermon! Forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns season! A receiver under those circumstances, it would be for Baltimore: 9Tier 10... A run-heavy scheme in Baltimore: 3 for exclusive access to, Late-Round. I 'd rather bet on Matt Corral guy does n't have to be superstar! His breakout Freshman campaign, 91 % of his snaps came from the slot role, perhaps jj zachariason dynasty rankings 'll him! In college, Lance rushed for 1,100 yards on the ground in 16 games a run-heavy in... Predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37 Late-Round quarterback in.! Rookie draft purposes now that he is to get ugly after Trey.... A class that lacks size rookie Rodgers some production as soon as year.. Get me your questions, just make sure you get them to me and Ill answer them every week a! Posted and votes can not be cast year 1 a big sample of Meyer as a receiver those. 4, staying in the NFL opinions about which types of players to target and when can... He was in pre-draft a get-your-guy year, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a real.... Can not be posted and votes can not be cast the stuff I 'm looking forward to seeing he.
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